Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 189.481843 206.955169 224.768426 244.256477 264.946275 286.226479 309.737750
2025-02-09 163.202010 189.589868 217.660369 249.616266 284.857713 322.409681 365.320505
2025-02-16 142.681446 175.530728 211.861349 254.708706 303.540712 357.148510 420.129536
2025-02-23 118.949158 155.025293 196.492979 247.094222 306.573852 373.684537 454.524526
2025-03-02 101.744925 140.060369 185.716348 243.183263 312.616021 392.849372 491.585341
2025-03-09 89.715914 129.947976 179.495788 243.617040 322.980080 416.593501 533.903141
2025-03-16 80.579602 122.427554 175.564979 246.084876 335.261066 442.362273 578.695032
2025-03-23 75.288039 119.302398 176.695549 254.516569 354.714219 476.861337 634.355705
2025-03-30 69.407073 114.736135 175.425360 259.459724 369.549930 505.674989 683.327357
2025-04-06 62.768618 108.438630 171.269500 260.134880 378.584790 527.109743 723.246408
2025-04-13 57.063593 102.921075 167.687016 261.151415 387.763093 548.589745 763.281958
2025-04-20 54.063836 101.126630 169.068988 268.755258 405.583595 581.208343 817.690486
2025-04-27 50.812491 98.776359 169.627350 275.373211 422.479895 613.297388 872.476900
2025-05-04 48.020297 96.901015 170.714391 282.677483 440.401447 647.000778 929.869669
2025-05-11 45.220284 94.755637 171.220716 289.067642 457.124185 679.347695 985.954922
2025-05-18 39.206774 86.654387 162.181050 281.156404 453.663387 684.687829 1006.722530
2025-05-25 34.725575 80.714529 156.041846 277.099561 455.273723 696.607882 1036.080850
2025-06-01 31.677519 77.017602 153.176076 277.709242 463.364228 717.262195 1077.151017
2025-06-08 29.337995 74.389170 151.840132 280.497196 474.524649 742.160180 1124.104213
2025-06-15 28.395781 74.338914 154.716655 289.809210 495.282025 780.493340 1189.538841
2025-06-22 26.833573 72.910798 155.163284 295.264244 510.412528 811.172178 1244.911058
2025-06-29 24.613240 69.917670 152.737942 296.018784 518.507520 832.062112 1287.121397
2025-07-06 22.640978 67.219628 150.637682 297.142587 527.072029 853.624814 1330.394389